Baker Mayfield — prop lines and game log

TB QB

Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season — TB vs CIN.

Current lines and Chrispy Scores

0.5 Anytime Touchdown

Over Chrispy Score 0.00 · Under Chrispy Score 100.00

Evidence: 0 of 15 qualifying games went over the posted number (15 under).

Over his last 10 games with a recorded Anytime Touchdown figure, Baker Mayfield averaged 0.1 (high 1, low 0). Measured against the posted 0.5, that is 1 game over, 9 under.

Last 10 games — Anytime Touchdown

  • 1/3/2026 vs CAR0
  • 12/28/2025 @ MIA0
  • 12/21/2025 @ CAR0
  • 12/11/2025 vs ATL0
  • 12/7/2025 vs NO0
  • 11/30/2025 vs ARI0
  • 11/23/2025 @ LAR0
  • 11/16/2025 @ BUF1
  • 11/9/2025 vs NE0
  • 10/26/2025 @ NO0

232.5 Passing Yards

Over Chrispy Score 40.00 · Under Chrispy Score 60.00

Evidence: 6 of 15 qualifying games went over the posted number (9 under).

Over his last 10 games with a recorded Passing Yards figure, Baker Mayfield averaged 192.6 (high 346, low 41). Measured against the posted 232.5, that is 3 games over, 7 under.

Last 10 games — Passing Yards

  • 1/3/2026 vs CAR203
  • 12/28/2025 @ MIA346
  • 12/21/2025 @ CAR145
  • 12/11/2025 vs ATL277
  • 12/7/2025 vs NO122
  • 11/30/2025 vs ARI194
  • 11/23/2025 @ LAR41
  • 11/16/2025 @ BUF173
  • 11/9/2025 vs NE273
  • 10/26/2025 @ NO152

21.5 Pass Completions

Over Chrispy Score 20.00 · Under Chrispy Score 80.00

Evidence: 3 of 15 qualifying games went over the posted number (12 under).

Over his last 10 games with a recorded Pass Completions figure, Baker Mayfield averaged 18.6 (high 33, low 9). Measured against the posted 21.5, that is 2 games over, 8 under.

Last 10 games — Pass Completions

  • 1/3/2026 vs CAR16
  • 12/28/2025 @ MIA33
  • 12/21/2025 @ CAR18
  • 12/11/2025 vs ATL19
  • 12/7/2025 vs NO14
  • 11/30/2025 vs ARI18
  • 11/23/2025 @ LAR9
  • 11/16/2025 @ BUF16
  • 11/9/2025 vs NE28
  • 10/26/2025 @ NO15

1.5 Passing Touchdowns

Over Chrispy Score 53.00 · Under Chrispy Score 47.00

Evidence: 8 of 15 qualifying games went over the posted number (7 under).

Over his last 10 games with a recorded Passing Touchdowns figure, Baker Mayfield averaged 1.3 (high 3, low 0). Measured against the posted 1.5, that is 3 games over, 7 under.

Last 10 games — Passing Touchdowns

  • 1/3/2026 vs CAR1
  • 12/28/2025 @ MIA2
  • 12/21/2025 @ CAR1
  • 12/11/2025 vs ATL2
  • 12/7/2025 vs NO1
  • 11/30/2025 vs ARI1
  • 11/23/2025 @ LAR1
  • 11/16/2025 @ BUF1
  • 11/9/2025 vs NE3
  • 10/26/2025 @ NO0

Chrispy Scores combine a player's last 5 games, last 5 against this opponent, and recent games against similar defenses. Read the full Chrispy Score method, or open the Data tab for the interactive last 5 / 10 / 15 / 20 charts. Data source: nflverse.

Full research method: how we build a Chrispy Score.