Patrick Mahomes — prop lines and game log

KC QB

Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season — KC vs DEN.

Current lines and Chrispy Scores

1.5 Passing Touchdowns

Over Chrispy Score 33.00 · Under Chrispy Score 67.00

Evidence: 5 of 15 qualifying games went over the posted number (10 under).

Over his last 10 games with a recorded Passing Touchdowns figure, Patrick Mahomes averaged 1.5 (high 4, low 0). Measured against the posted 1.5, that is 4 games over, 6 under.

Last 10 games — Passing Touchdowns

  • 12/14/2025 vs LAC0
  • 12/7/2025 vs HOU0
  • 11/27/2025 @ DAL4
  • 11/23/2025 vs IND0
  • 11/16/2025 @ DEN1
  • 11/2/2025 @ BUF0
  • 10/27/2025 vs WAS3
  • 10/19/2025 vs LV3
  • 10/12/2025 vs DET3
  • 10/6/2025 @ JAX1

225.5 Passing Yards

Over Chrispy Score 80.00 · Under Chrispy Score 20.00

Evidence: 12 of 15 qualifying games went over the posted number (3 under).

Over his last 10 games with a recorded Passing Yards figure, Patrick Mahomes averaged 264.8 (high 352, low 160). Measured against the posted 225.5, that is 8 games over, 2 under.

Last 10 games — Passing Yards

  • 12/14/2025 vs LAC189
  • 12/7/2025 vs HOU160
  • 11/27/2025 @ DAL261
  • 11/23/2025 vs IND352
  • 11/16/2025 @ DEN276
  • 11/2/2025 @ BUF250
  • 10/27/2025 vs WAS299
  • 10/19/2025 vs LV286
  • 10/12/2025 vs DET257
  • 10/6/2025 @ JAX318

0.5 Anytime Touchdown

Over Chrispy Score 13.00 · Under Chrispy Score 87.00

Evidence: 2 of 15 qualifying games went over the posted number (13 under).

Over his last 10 games with a recorded Anytime Touchdown figure, Patrick Mahomes averaged 0.3 (high 1, low 0). Measured against the posted 0.5, that is 3 games over, 7 under.

Last 10 games — Anytime Touchdown

  • 12/14/2025 vs LAC1
  • 12/7/2025 vs HOU0
  • 11/27/2025 @ DAL0
  • 11/23/2025 vs IND0
  • 11/16/2025 @ DEN0
  • 11/2/2025 @ BUF0
  • 10/27/2025 vs WAS0
  • 10/19/2025 vs LV0
  • 10/12/2025 vs DET1
  • 10/6/2025 @ JAX1

32.5 Pass Attempts

Over Chrispy Score 80.00 · Under Chrispy Score 20.00

Evidence: 12 of 15 qualifying games went over the posted number (3 under).

Over his last 10 games with a recorded Pass Attempts figure, Patrick Mahomes averaged 36 (high 46, low 28). Measured against the posted 32.5, that is 8 games over, 2 under.

Last 10 games — Pass Attempts

  • 12/14/2025 vs LAC28
  • 12/7/2025 vs HOU33
  • 11/27/2025 @ DAL34
  • 11/23/2025 vs IND46
  • 11/16/2025 @ DEN45
  • 11/2/2025 @ BUF34
  • 10/27/2025 vs WAS34
  • 10/19/2025 vs LV35
  • 10/12/2025 vs DET30
  • 10/6/2025 @ JAX41

Chrispy Scores combine a player's last 5 games, last 5 against this opponent, and recent games against similar defenses. Read the full Chrispy Score method, or open the Data tab for the interactive last 5 / 10 / 15 / 20 charts. Data source: nflverse.

Full research method: how we build a Chrispy Score.